房地產抗逆性:為因應未來不確定性而生的建案
根據美國麥肯錫公司 2022 年 2 月的報告《氣候變遷對房地產的風險與機遇》,隨著監管機構制定新的報告標準、政府頒布限制溫室氣體排放的法律以及租戶對永續建築的需求,房地產行業有機會在這一轉型中發揮關鍵和領導作用。

報告指出,由於房地產產生了全球溫室氣體排放占比約 39%,「房地產對全球氣候變化減緩努力至關重要 」。 這個行業已經開始在此方面發揮引導作用。

每個市場對氣候變化的反應都不同。在香港,作為世界領先的金融中心之一,買家群眾多且動態多變,能迅速對經濟和環境問題作出回應,轉向更穩定的市場,並選擇節能設計的現代住宅大樓。

從肆虐的野火與極端洪水,面對自然災害所帶來的經濟不確定性,房地產行業和主要房地產投資者正在重新評估他們購買資產的投資組合。

香港利斯蘇富比國際房地產的首席運營官 Franky Cho 表示,「於環境、社會和管治以及綠色建築方面,香港政府正在加快引導各類組織支持地產開發商進行綠色融資。」

建築行業正在回應消費者的需求,推出擁有現代設施的永續性豪華公寓。「許多聲譽良好的建築商將環境、社會、管治和綠色建築作為首要考慮的重點,因為我們知道,只有行業領導者全力關注環境,才能解決這些問題。建築師在設計和建造物業時也更加注重對社區環境的影響。」

全球房地產資產管理公司投資管理部門的永續性 & 創新主管 Helen Gurfel 表示,抗逆性是一個持續進行的過程,包括「具備有效的治理、快速反應能力、可靠的基礎設施、前瞻性和主動規劃、財務韌性、適應能力,以及對技術及創新解決方案的投資。」

精明的房地產投資者應該以全面的方式考慮永續性,因為氣候風險「將對房地產市場和資產產生重大影響」,包括保險風險、業務持續性、災害恢復、底線開支、淘汰風險、聲譽風險和監管風險,而這些影響可能在長期內導致社區的搬遷問題,不僅僅在於房產的位置可能決定潛在風險,還在於資產本身的韌性。「這個資產是否設計和建造了能夠抵禦氣候相關風險的功能?」。在 CBRE 投資管理部門,他們使用「行業和專有工具,在盡職調查期間和整個投資生命周期中評估每筆投資的風險」。

專注於氣候變化「是實現長期投資回報最大化的基礎,透過降低風險並利用增值機會。」投資者應該評估的不僅僅是實體資產,還有環境應對和適應的能力。投資者應該專注於氣候適應,即減少環境對資產的物理影響,同時減緩氣候變化,降低資產對環境的影響,進而提升對使用者和潛在買家的價值。

氣候變化減緩的方法包括「減少碳排放、注重資源效率、推動電氣化和使用可再生能源。」

文章節錄自 蘇富比國際房地產 Luxury Outlook
 
     
  Real Estate Resilience:Building for an Uncertain Future
“ Investors are choosing assets in areas that will be resilient and are avoiding areas that will be exposed to increasing risks. They also are investing in the resilience of individual assets through measures such as energy efficiency, innovative design, and operational planning. ” Brodie Boland
Partner at McKinsey & Co.


With regulators developing new reporting standards, governments enacting laws that restrict emissions and tenants demanding sustainable buildings, the industry has the chance to play a critical and leading role in the transition, according to “ Climate Risk and the Opportunity for Real Estate,” a February 2022 report by McKinsey & Co.

Because real estate generates some 39% of global emissions, the report notes, “real estate is central to global climate change mitigation efforts.”

The industry has already begun to lead the way.

Helen Gurfel, head of sustainability and innovation at CBRE Investment Management, a global real assets manager, says resilience is an ongoing process that includes “ effective governance, responsiveness, dependable infrastructure, vision and active planning, financial resilience, adaptive capacity, and investment in technology/innovative solutions. ”

Savvy real estate investors, she says, take a holistic approach to sustainability as climate risks “ will have significant impacts on real estate markets and assets.

” Those impacts — insurance risk, business continuity, disaster recovery, bottom-line expense, obsolescence risk, reputational risk, and regulatory risk — can, in the long term, lead to the displacement of communities, she says. ”

It is not only a question of the location of a property that might determine potential risks but also the resilience of the asset itself,” she says. “ Was the asset designed and built with features to withstand climate-related hazards? ” At CBRE Investment Management, they use “industry and proprietary tools to evaluate risk for each investment during due diligence and throughout the investment life cycle,” she says.

A focus on climate change, she adds, “ is fundamental to maximizing long-term investment returns by mitigating risk and taking advantage of opportunities to enhance value. ”

She says investors should evaluate not only the physical property but also the ability of the community to respond and adapt.

Gurfel says investors should focus on climate adaptation — reducing the environment’s physical impact on assets — as well as climate change mitigation — reducing the impact of assets on the environment to enhance their value to users and prospective purchasers.

“ Climate change mitigation is done through decarbonization efforts, focusing resources on efficiency, electrification and renewable energy, ” she says.

Source: Sotheby's International Realty.